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October 5, 2022

MachineTrader™ provides a series of 22 FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data) reports for traders seeking insight into future prices, interest rates, and broader economic conditions.  FRED was developed and is maintained by the Research Department at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.  FRED’s database contains over 800,000 economic data series from more than 100 sources. We have curated a list of the most relevant reports, which you can access under “Insights” on your “FRED” tab.  

The default display (All) shows the above six reports. These six can be customized to your trading needs.

Many traders are obviously quite concerned about the impact of rising (or falling) inflation on the market.  On the “FRED” screen, in the default display of charts, we have provided the "10-Year Inflation Breakeven" and the “30-Year Constant Maturity Rate” reports.  The 10-Year Inflation Breakeven shows a breakeven inflation rate that is a market-based measure of expected inflation. Rather than using surveys to plot expected inflation, the breakeven report plots the difference between the yield of a nominal bond and an inflation-linked bond of the same maturity.  The 10-year breakeven inflation rate is defined as the 10-year nominal treasury yield less the 10-year TIPS yield (TIPS stands for Treasury Inflation Protected Securities).

The "30-Year Constant Maturity Rate" is obtained by the U.S. Treasury on a daily basis, through interpolation of the Treasury yield curve, based on closing bid-yields of actively-traded Treasury securities. Constant maturity yields are often used by lenders to determine mortgage rates.

Use the pull down menu to select other FRED charts available on MachineTrader.

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